Posted by
RightTeacher on Thursday, February 07, 2008 8:38:45 PM
I've been meaning to post since Hugh posted
this good message about the real statistic: the percentage of remaining delegates needed to win. Using the numbers I got from CNN, (714/286/181 with 16 for Ron Paul) we find that McCain needs 40.32 of remaining delegates to win while Romney needs 76.50%. You have to know that Romney looked at the data and did the same analysis.
You can say that he still has a chance, but that isn't the point. When students come to me toward the end of the semester asking if they can improve the grade, the answer is usually, of course you can. The hardly ever do. Whatever they were doing that got them in hot water, gradewise, they often continue to do. It requires them to change their behavior and study habits. What could Romney do to get 76.5% of the delegates that he hasn't already been doing. It is interesting that he does well in caususes (as has been posted elsewhere) since that means that when people are really informed and involved, they tended to go to Romney.
Well, may be that means that next time . . . Romney would be better known.