Posted by
RightTeacher on Sunday, February 03, 2008 10:08:52 PM
With the CNN numbers (McCain 97, Romney 92, Huckabee 26, Other 7), which include Maine, the all important statistic, percent of remaining delegates that the candidate needs to win becomes 50.19% for McCain and 51% for Romney.
Of course, we're still only at 10% of the delegates chosen. Tuesday will provide more meaningful results. Watch this space for the new percent-of-remaining-delegate statistic when we have some new numbers for Tuesday.
Obviously, when the number exceeds 100%, it becomes impossible for the candidate to win. When it reaches 0%, the candidate has clinched the nomination. Those situations are often reported in the media. It's the in-between numbers that we are interested in. We want to see how close the candidate is to 100% (bad) and 0% (good).
Right now, they are within one percent. Depending on the breaks (shades of Dr. Strangelove), Tuesdays numbers could create a 30% separation or more.